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Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 36071012100 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,833 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Goshen

Eviction risk in Goshen centers on tract 36071012100, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,833 residents. On the national scale it ranks #24,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,702 a month while the average household earns $86,475 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,468
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$86,475

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Goshen
Very High
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Very Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#4,814 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.3826, -74.3229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goshen scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goshen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,702 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
4.5

How Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goshen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 012100Goshen: 8.08.0Goshenparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goshen

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071012100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071012100?

Census tract 36071012100 in Goshen scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36071012100?

Median gross rent is $1,702/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071012100?

0.9% of residents in tract 36071012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071012100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 65th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36071012100 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36071012100 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 36071012100 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Goshen at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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