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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Goshen Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36071012100 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,833 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Goshen

36071012100 is a census tract in Goshen, NY. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,833. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,468
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$86,475

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Goshen
Very High
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Moderate
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#4,018 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.3826, -74.3229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goshen scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goshen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,702 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
4.5

How Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goshen risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0121006.6Goshenparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goshen

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 56% here against 49.0% across Orange County.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.3/10.

Against the Orange County average of 6.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,702, close to the Goshen average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $86,475.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071012100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071012100?

Census tract 36071012100 in Goshen scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36071012100?

Median gross rent is $1,702/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071012100?

0.9% of residents in tract 36071012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071012100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 65th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36071012100 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36071012100 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 36071012100 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Goshen at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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