Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36071011400 · Orange County, NY · pop 4,413 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Middletown

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 36071011400 in Middletown ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,413 residents. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,407 a month while the average household earns $106,157 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%

Tract context

Occupied units1,525

Renter share3.9%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$106,157

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 41.4795, -74.4535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middletown scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Middletown

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,407 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Middletown

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Middletown

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Middletown

7.5

How Middletown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
10.6%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middletown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071011400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011400?

Census tract 36071011400 in Middletown scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36071011400?

Median gross rent is $1,407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011400?

7.9% of residents in tract 36071011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 27th, minority 51th, housing 34th.

What share of households in tract 36071011400 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36071011400 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 36071011400 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.