Randall Heights Eviction Risk: High , Middletown

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,332 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Middletown commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $51,852.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.