Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Lynwood Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Scotchtown
Tract 36071011102 · Orange County, NY · pop 4,424 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the Lynwood Hills area of Scotchtown, census tract 36071011102 scores 5.8/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #27,226 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,797 monthly, set against $94,232 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,758
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$94,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scotchtown and the region
Centroid at 41.4730, -74.3583 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lynwood Hills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,797 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scotchtown
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scotchtown
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.0
How Lynwood Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lynwood Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lynwood Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scotchtown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011102?
Census tract 36071011102 in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011102?
Median gross rent is $1,797/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011102?
12.2% of residents in tract 36071011102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 46th, minority 69th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 36071011102 considered part of Lynwood Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071011102 fall within Lynwood Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071011102 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071011102 compare to Scotchtown overall?
Tract 36071011102 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Scotchtown at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scotchtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scotchtown
Top eight tracts in Scotchtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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