Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Lynwood Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Scotchtown
Tract 36071011302 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,312 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 36071011302 reflects conditions in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood of Scotchtown, New York. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
About 33% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,389 a month against an average household income of $77,153 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,588
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$77,153
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scotchtown and the region
Centroid at 41.4660, -74.3787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lynwood Hills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scotchtown
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scotchtown
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.0
How Lynwood Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lynwood Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lynwood Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scotchtown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011302?
Census tract 36071011302 in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011302?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011302?
8.0% of residents in tract 36071011302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,312.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 39th, minority 69th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 36071011302 considered part of Lynwood Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071011302 fall within Lynwood Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071011302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071011302 compare to Scotchtown overall?
Tract 36071011302 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Scotchtown at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scotchtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scotchtown
Top eight tracts in Scotchtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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