Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Lynwood Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Scotchtown
Tract 36071011302 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,312 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 36071011302 sits in the Lynwood Hills area of Scotchtown, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. It is home to 3,312 residents. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Orange County average of 49.0%.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,588
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$77,153
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scotchtown and the region
Centroid at 41.4660, -74.3787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lynwood Hills scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scotchtown
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scotchtown
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scotchtown
5.0
How Lynwood Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lynwood Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lynwood Hills
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,389, 23% below the Scotchtown average. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Orange County average of 6.7.
Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $77,153. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011302?
Census tract 36071011302 in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011302?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011302?
8.0% of residents in tract 36071011302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,312.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 39th, minority 69th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 36071011302 considered part of Lynwood Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071011302 fall within Lynwood Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071011302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071011302 compare to Scotchtown overall?
Tract 36071011302 scores 7.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Scotchtown at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scotchtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scotchtown
Top eight tracts in Scotchtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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