Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Skyline Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbury
Tract 36071013500 ·
Orange County, NY · pop 6,238 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 36071013500 covers part of the Skyline Trail area of Woodbury, NY, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 3%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,015
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$152,604
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Skyline Trail
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Woodbury
Very High
Within county
9th percentile
#84 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Very Low
Within state
7th percentile
#5,022 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodbury and the region
Centroid at 41.3662, -74.1213 · click any tract to drill in
Why Skyline Trail scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Woodbury
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbury
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbury
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbury
6.5
How Skyline Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
31%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.4%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Skyline Trail
It sits 2.0 points below the Orange County average of 6.7. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Cost burden runs 44% here against 49.0% across Orange County. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071013500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071013500?
Census tract 36071013500 in the Skyline Trail neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071013500?
7.7% of residents in tract 36071013500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,238.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071013500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 16th, minority 63th, housing 27th.
Q4
Is tract 36071013500 considered part of Skyline Trail?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071013500 fall within Skyline Trail (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 36071013500 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36071013500 compare to Woodbury overall?
Tract 36071013500 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbury at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbury; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbury
Top eight tracts in Woodbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.