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Neighborhood · Lake Carmel, NY

North Lake Carmel Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,003 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.1–4.4

North Lake Carmel is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lake Carmel with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,003 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,078/month sits 33% higher than the Lake Carmel citywide average ($1,565).

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
North Lake Carmel vs Lake Carmel How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.3% +54%
Lake Carmel: 39.9%
Average gross rent
$2,078 +33%
Lake Carmel: $1,565
Average HH income
$109,164 -10%
Lake Carmel: $121,402
Poverty rate
9.4% +2%
Lake Carmel: 9.2%
Renter share
13.4% -5%
Lake Carmel: 14.1%
Geographic context

Risk heat across North Lake Carmel and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–4.4

Why North Lake Carmel scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
9.4% below poverty line · Range 1.9–3.1 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

North Lake Carmel vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Lake Carmel score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North Lake Carmel: 3.63.6North Lake CarmelNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in North Lake Carmel

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36079010400 4.4 3,233 81% $1,397
36079010300 3.1 4,770 48% $2,540
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Lake Carmel

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Lake Carmel

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Lake Carmel?

North Lake Carmel scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Lake Carmel compare to Lake Carmel overall?

North Lake Carmel scores 4.2 points lower than Lake Carmel overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 40% citywide. Average rent: $2,078 vs $1,565.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Lake Carmel?

Average gross rent in North Lake Carmel is $2,078/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Lake Carmel residents are renters?

13% of North Lake Carmel households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Lake Carmel). The neighborhood has 8,003 residents.
Q5

Is North Lake Carmel a high social-vulnerability area?

North Lake Carmel sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Lake Carmel have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Lake Carmel is census tract 36079010400 (score 4.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.4, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is North Lake Carmel for landlords?

North Lake Carmel carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Carmel as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Lake Carmel?

North Lake Carmel has 7,993 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.8%), Hispanic / Latino (27.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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