Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Central Islip Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103146203 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,939
Tract 36103146203 sits in Central Islip eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 4,939 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,237
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$110,077
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Islip and the region
Centroid at 40.7843, -73.2021 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Islip scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,210 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0
How Central Islip compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 25.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 18.8%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Islip
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. Food insecurity runs 32.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 26.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,210, close to the Central Islip average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $110,077.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146203?
Census tract 36103146203 in Central Islip scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146203?
Median gross rent is $2,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146203?
11.8% of residents in tract 36103146203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 57th, minority 91th, housing 54th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146203 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146203 compare to Central Islip overall?
Tract 36103146203 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Central Islip at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip
Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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