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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Central Islip Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103146404 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,253

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 36103146404 in Central Islip, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 63%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units812
Renter share2.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$127,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Central Islip
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Moderate
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,908 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Islip and the region

Centroid at 40.7833, -73.1759 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Islip scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,150 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0

How Central Islip compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Islip risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 1464046.6Central Islipparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Islip

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,150, close to the Central Islip average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103146404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146404?

Census tract 36103146404 in Central Islip scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103146404?

Median gross rent is $2,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146404?

2.6% of residents in tract 36103146404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,253.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 69th, minority 81th, housing 81th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103146404 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103146404 compare to Central Islip overall?

Tract 36103146404 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Central Islip at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip

Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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