Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Heer Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Lindenhurst
Tract 36103123802 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,456 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in Heer Park in Lindenhurst centers on tract 36103123802, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,456 residents. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,335 a month while the average household earns $112,786 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,188
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$112,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lindenhurst and the region
Centroid at 40.6649, -73.3770 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heer Park scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lindenhurst
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,335 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lindenhurst
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lindenhurst
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lindenhurst
6.2
How Heer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heer Park
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lindenhurst eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103123802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103123802?
Census tract 36103123802 in the Heer Park neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103123802?
Median gross rent is $2,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103123802?
5.8% of residents in tract 36103123802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,456.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103123802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 14th, minority 37th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 36103123802 considered part of Heer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103123802 fall within Heer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103123802 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103123802 compare to Lindenhurst overall?
Tract 36103123802 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lindenhurst at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lindenhurst eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lindenhurst
Top eight tracts in Lindenhurst ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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