Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Heer Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lindenhurst
Tract 36103123704 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,893 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
36103123704 is a census tract in the Heer Park area of Copiague, NY. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,893. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$126,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lindenhurst and the region
Centroid at 40.6756, -73.3905 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heer Park scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lindenhurst
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,843 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lindenhurst
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lindenhurst
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lindenhurst
6.2
How Heer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 15.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heer Park
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. At $1,843 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Copiague commands.
Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $126,528, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103123704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103123704?
Census tract 36103123704 in the Heer Park neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103123704?
Median gross rent is $1,843/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103123704?
15.0% of residents in tract 36103123704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,893.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103123704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 84th, minority 76th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 36103123704 considered part of Heer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103123704 fall within Heer Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103123704 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103123704 compare to Lindenhurst overall?
Tract 36103123704 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lindenhurst at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lindenhurst eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lindenhurst
Top eight tracts in Lindenhurst ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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