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Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103158506 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,577

Tract 36103158506 sits in Lake Grove, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 75% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 3% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$131,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lake Grove
Very Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#171 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Elevated
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,749 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,571 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Grove and the region

Centroid at 40.8447, -73.1193 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Grove scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Grove
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,211 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Grove
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Grove
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Grove
6.2

How Lake Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 1585066.6Lake Groveparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Grove

Average gross rent is $1,211, 45% below the Lake Grove average. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $131,042, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103158506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158506?

Census tract 36103158506 in Lake Grove scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103158506?

Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158506?

5.5% of residents in tract 36103158506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,577.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 53th, minority 38th, housing 10th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103158506 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103158506 compare to Lake Grove overall?

Tract 36103158506 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Grove at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Grove

Top eight tracts in Lake Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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