Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103158505 ·
Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,900
Census tract 36103158505 covers part of Lake Grove, NY, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 59%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 5%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,378
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$116,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Lake Grove
Very High
Within county
78th percentile
#87 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
38th percentile
#3,356 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
85th percentile
#12,919 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Grove and the region
Centroid at 40.8531, -73.1160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Grove scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Grove
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,696 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Grove
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Grove
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Grove
6.2
How Lake Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.3%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.2%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Grove
85% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.
Average gross rent is $2,696, 23% above the Lake Grove average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.4/10.
It sits 0.7 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $116,875. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103158505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158505?
Census tract 36103158505 in Lake Grove scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103158505?
Median gross rent is $2,696/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158505?
8.7% of residents in tract 36103158505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,900.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 9th, minority 52th, housing 25th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103158505 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103158505 compare to Lake Grove overall?
Tract 36103158505 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Grove at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Grove
Top eight tracts in Lake Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.