Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Middle Island Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103158403 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 2,494
Here is how census tract 36103158403, in Middle Island, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,494. On the national scale it ranks #13,070 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,871 a month while the average household earns $90,608 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,028
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$90,608
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle Island and the region
Centroid at 40.8969, -72.9308 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Island scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle Island
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,871 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle Island
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle Island
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle Island
7.7
How Middle Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middle Island
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middle Island, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103158403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158403?
Census tract 36103158403 in Middle Island scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103158403?
Median gross rent is $1,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158403?
11.4% of residents in tract 36103158403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,494.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 14th, minority 47th, housing 52th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103158403 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103158403 compare to Middle Island overall?
Tract 36103158403 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Middle Island at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle Island
Top eight tracts in Middle Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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