Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Middle Island Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36103158403 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 2,494
Census tract 36103158403 covers part of Middle Island, NY, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,028
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$90,608
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle Island and the region
Centroid at 40.8969, -72.9308 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Island scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle Island
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,871 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle Island
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle Island
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle Island
7.7
How Middle Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middle Island
roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,871, close to the Middle Island average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,608.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103158403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158403?
Census tract 36103158403 in Middle Island scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103158403?
Median gross rent is $1,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158403?
11.4% of residents in tract 36103158403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,494.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 14th, minority 47th, housing 52th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103158403 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103158403 compare to Middle Island overall?
Tract 36103158403 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Middle Island at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle Island
Top eight tracts in Middle Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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