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Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Middle Island Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36103158310 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,872

How risky is Middle Island for landlords? Census tract 36103158310 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,900 a month against an average household income of $106,307 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$106,307

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Middle Island
Very Low
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#34 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,896 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,159 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middle Island and the region

Centroid at 40.8975, -72.9628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middle Island scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middle Island
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,900 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle Island
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle Island
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle Island
7.7

How Middle Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middle Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 158310Middle Island: 8.28.2Middle Islandparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middle Island

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middle Island, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103158310

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158310?

Census tract 36103158310 in Middle Island scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103158310?

Median gross rent is $1,900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158310?

5.2% of residents in tract 36103158310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,872.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158310?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 76th, minority 29th, housing 35th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103158310 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103158310 compare to Middle Island overall?

Tract 36103158310 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Middle Island at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middle Island

Top eight tracts in Middle Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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