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Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Middle Island Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103158310 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,872

Tract 36103158310 sits in Middle Island, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. It is home to 4,872 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$106,307

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Middle Island
Very Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,203 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,727 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middle Island and the region

Centroid at 40.8975, -72.9628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middle Island scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middle Island
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,900 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle Island
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle Island
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle Island
7.7

How Middle Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middle Island risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 1583107.1Middle Islandparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middle Island

Cost burden runs 67% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,900, close to the Middle Island average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,307.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103158310

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158310?

Census tract 36103158310 in Middle Island scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103158310?

Median gross rent is $1,900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158310?

5.2% of residents in tract 36103158310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,872.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158310?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 76th, minority 29th, housing 35th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103158310 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103158310 compare to Middle Island overall?

Tract 36103158310 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Middle Island at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middle Island

Top eight tracts in Middle Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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