Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Moriches Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36103159415 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 1,499
Census tract 36103159415 covers part of Moriches, NY, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units730
Renter share81.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$53,946
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Moriches and the region
Centroid at 40.8135, -72.8238 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moriches scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Moriches
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$2,238 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moriches
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moriches
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moriches
8.4
How Moriches compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moriches
Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 89% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. Set annual rent against average income of $53,946 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,238, close to the Moriches average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103159415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159415?
Census tract 36103159415 in Moriches scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103159415?
Median gross rent is $2,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159415?
20.7% of residents in tract 36103159415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,499.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 52th, minority 45th, housing 73th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103159415 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103159415 compare to Moriches overall?
Tract 36103159415 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Moriches at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moriches; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Moriches
Top eight tracts in Moriches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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