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Census Tract · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Springs Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103201009 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 6,259

Census tract 36103201009 covers part of Springs, NY, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,259. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 12% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,390
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$138,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Springs
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#3,036 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
National
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8,653 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springs and the region

Centroid at 41.0138, -72.1683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springs scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$3,368 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springs
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springs
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springs
7.9

How Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 2010097.1Springsparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springs

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. The voucher gap is 30.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $3,368, close to the Springs average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $138,241. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103201009

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103201009?

Census tract 36103201009 in Springs scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103201009?

Median gross rent is $3,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103201009?

16.5% of residents in tract 36103201009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,259.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103201009?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 54th, minority 65th, housing 20th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103201009 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103201009 compare to Springs overall?

Tract 36103201009 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springs at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springs

Top eight tracts in Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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