Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103159518 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,787 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Shirley
Census tract 36103159518 runs through Shirley. With 4,787 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #14,958 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
80% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,185 monthly, set against $84,455 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$84,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 40.7633, -72.8605 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$2,185 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
7.0
How Shirley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 20.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shirley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103159518
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159518?
Census tract 36103159518 in Shirley scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103159518?
Median gross rent is $2,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159518?
17.2% of residents in tract 36103159518 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,787.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159518?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 42th, minority 63th, housing 26th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103159518 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103159518 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 36103159518 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Shirley at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shirley
Top eight tracts in Shirley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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