Terryville Eviction Risk: Elevated

At $3,085 a month, rents run 36% over what the rest of Terryville commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters.

It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $118,407.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.