Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Melville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103112215 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,064
36103112215 is a census tract in Melville, NY. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. The voucher gap is 35.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,582
Renter share32.2%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$110,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Melville and the region
Centroid at 40.7690, -73.4241 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melville scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Melville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melville
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melville
5.5
How Melville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melville
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $110,375 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Cost burden runs 62% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103112215
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103112215?
Census tract 36103112215 in Melville scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103112215?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103112215?
2.3% of residents in tract 36103112215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,064.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103112215?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 30th, minority 19th, housing 50th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103112215 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103112215 compare to Melville overall?
Tract 36103112215 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Melville at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Melville
Top eight tracts in Melville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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