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Neighborhood · Ithaca, NY

Downtown Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 1,884 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Downtown is a one-tract neighborhood of Ithaca, NY and houses 1,884 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, in the High tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Ithaca rate of 41.3%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

4.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 9.8% of adults, 8.0 points below the national rate.

That places it #1 of 6 neighborhoods in Ithaca. The closest comparables inside the same city are Collegetown and Fall Creek. Average gross rent runs $1,408, close to the Ithaca average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.9
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Ithaca How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.0% +33%
Ithaca: 41.3%
Average gross rent
$1,408 -3%
Ithaca: $1,447
Average HH income
$40,861 -16%
Ithaca: $48,617
Poverty rate
17.3% -39%
Ithaca: 28.4%
Renter share
96.3% +37%
Ithaca: 70.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Downtown scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
96% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Economic stress
17.3% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9DowntownNeighborhood9.3Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36109000100 9.9 1,884 55% $1,408
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Ithaca overall?

Downtown scores 0.6 points higher than Ithaca overall (9.3/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,408 vs $1,447.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,408/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

96% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 70% in Ithaca). The neighborhood has 1,884 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ithaca as a whole (9.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 2,006 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ithaca

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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