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Neighborhood · Ithaca, NY

Fall Creek Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 4,015 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Fall Creek is a one-tract neighborhood of Ithaca, NY and houses 4,015 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, in the High tier. The severe-burden share is 52%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Ithaca baseline of 41.3%, about three-quarters of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

On the high side is housing-court posture at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

4.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 9.7% of adults, 8.1 points below the national rate.

At $1,350 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Ithaca commands. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Ithaca, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Downtown and Collegetown score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $64,783.

One tract means one number: 9.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.9
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fall Creek vs Ithaca How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
74.7% +81%
Ithaca: 41.3%
Average gross rent
$1,350 -7%
Ithaca: $1,447
Average HH income
$64,783 +33%
Ithaca: $48,617
Poverty rate
21.0% -26%
Ithaca: 28.4%
Renter share
55.0% -22%
Ithaca: 70.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fall Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Fall Creek scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Rent control risk
75% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Economic stress
21.0% below poverty line · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Fall Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fall Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9Fall CreekNeighborhood9.3Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fall Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36109000700 9.9 4,015 75% $1,350
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fall Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fall Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fall Creek?

Fall Creek scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fall Creek compare to Ithaca overall?

Fall Creek scores 0.6 points higher than Ithaca overall (9.3/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,350 vs $1,447.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fall Creek?

Average gross rent in Fall Creek is $1,350/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fall Creek residents are renters?

55% of Fall Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 70% in Ithaca). The neighborhood has 4,015 residents.
Q5

Is Fall Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Fall Creek sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fall Creek for landlords?

Fall Creek carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ithaca as a whole (9.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fall Creek?

Fall Creek has 4,101 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fall Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ithaca

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fall Creek.

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