Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Vernon Park Eviction Risk: High , Mount Vernon

Tract 36119003200 · Westchester County, NY · pop 3,098 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 36119003200 sits in the Vernon Park area of Mount Vernon eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. Population here is 3,098. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 25% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units915

Renter share69.3%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate38.0%

Median income$61,825

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region

Centroid at 40.9087, -73.8306 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vernon Park scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mount Vernon

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

38.0% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$1,618 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mount Vernon

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mount Vernon

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mount Vernon

6.9

How Vernon Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
52%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vernon Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.5%Housing insecurity
23.7%Utility-shutoff threat
39.7%Food insecurity
42.0%SNAP enrollment
19.7%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
34.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vernon Park

64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Westchester County average of 47.2%. SNAP participation runs 42.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 33.5% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Westchester County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lower Westchester Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36119003200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36119003200?

Census tract 36119003200 in the Vernon Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36119003200?

Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36119003200?

38.0% of residents in tract 36119003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,098.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36119003200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 87th, minority 98th, housing 100th.

Is tract 36119003200 considered part of Vernon Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36119003200 fall within Vernon Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36119003200 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36119003200 compare to Mount Vernon overall?

Tract 36119003200 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mount Vernon at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36119003200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon

Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.