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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale Eviction Risk: High , New Rochelle

Tract 36119005704 · Westchester County, NY · pop 2,915 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 36119005704 covers part of the Rosedale area of New Rochelle, NY, and scores 8.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,915 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 22% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share53.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$78,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Rosedale
Very High
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 18 tracts In New Rochelle
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#95 of 241 tracts In Westchester County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,084 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Rochelle and the region

Centroid at 40.8855, -73.7832 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Rochelle
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,966 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Rochelle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Rochelle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Rochelle
6.2

How Rosedale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 005704New Rochelle: 8.18.1New Rochelleparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.77.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosedale

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Against Westchester County at 47.2%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Against the Westchester County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #4,888 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,966, close to the New Rochelle average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $78,477.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36119005704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36119005704?

Census tract 36119005704 in the Rosedale neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36119005704?

Median gross rent is $1,966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36119005704?

7.2% of residents in tract 36119005704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,915.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36119005704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 93th, minority 69th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 36119005704 considered part of Rosedale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36119005704 fall within Rosedale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36119005704 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36119005704 compare to New Rochelle overall?

Tract 36119005704 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Rochelle at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Rochelle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36119005704 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Rochelle

Top eight tracts in New Rochelle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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