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Neighborhood · Burlington, NC

Downtown Burlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,477 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Downtown Burlington maps to a single census tract in Burlington, NC and houses 4,477 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Burlington rate of 28.4%. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

Court records for this tract carry 1,446 eviction filings. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $900, 14% below the Burlington average of $1,051.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 9.7% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.0% in 2018 against a 9.7% peak. That places it #6 of 13 neighborhoods in Burlington.

For a like-for-like read, Graber Heights and Piedmont Heights score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Burlington vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.2% +35%
Burlington: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$900 -14%
Burlington: $1,051
Average HH income
$63,846 +16%
Burlington: $54,941
Poverty rate
25.7% +43%
Burlington: 18.0%
Renter share
57.1% +23%
Burlington: 46.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Burlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Downtown Burlington scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
25.7% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Downtown Burlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Burlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Downtown BurlingtoNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown Burlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37001020100 4.7 4,477 38% $900
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Burlington

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,446Total filings (sum)
  • 8.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak year (2012)
  • 10.02%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Burlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Burlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Burlington?

Downtown Burlington scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Burlington compare to Burlington overall?

Downtown Burlington scores 1.3 points higher than Burlington overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $900 vs $1,051.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Burlington?

Average gross rent in Downtown Burlington eviction risk is $900/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Burlington residents are renters?

57% of Downtown Burlington households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 4,477 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Burlington a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Burlington sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown Burlington for landlords?

Downtown Burlington eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Burlington?

Downtown Burlington has 4,376 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.2%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Burlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Burlington.

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