Piedmont Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 44%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 28.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence reaches 47.6% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Court records for this tract carry 2,058 eviction filings.

At $889 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Burlington commands. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 16.5% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 14.6% in 2018 against a 16.5% peak. That places it #1 of 13 neighborhoods in Burlington.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.