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Neighborhood · Burlington, NC

The Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,560 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

The Cove maps to a single census tract in Burlington, NC and houses 7,560 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. At $1,316 a month, rents sit 25% over what the rest of Burlington commands.

Against a Burlington baseline of 28.4%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The filing record is not thin: 1,101 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 10.7% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.7% of adults, 8.1 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 6.3% in 2018, is well off that peak.

That places it #11 of 13 neighborhoods in Burlington. The closest comparables inside the same city are Central Heights and Country Club Forest.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Cove vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.1% +20%
Burlington: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,316 +25%
Burlington: $1,051
Average HH income
$67,535 +23%
Burlington: $54,941
Poverty rate
2.5% -86%
Burlington: 18.0%
Renter share
53.0% +15%
Burlington: 46.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why The Cove scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

The Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0The CoveNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37001021703 3 7,560 34% $1,316
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,101Total filings (sum)
  • 7.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak year (2014)
  • 6.30%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Cove?

The Cove scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Cove compare to Burlington overall?

The Cove scores 0.4 points lower than Burlington overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,316 vs $1,051.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Cove?

Average gross rent in The Cove is $1,316/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Cove residents are renters?

53% of The Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 7,560 residents.
Q5

Is The Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

The Cove sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Cove for landlords?

The Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Cove?

The Cove has 7,869 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Cove.

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