Neighborhood · Burlington, NC

The Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,560 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

The Cove is a white-black neighborhood in Burlington with 1 census tract and a population of 7,560 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 9% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,316/month sits 25% higher than the Burlington citywide average ($1,051).

Risk score

3.3

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

The Cove vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

34.1% +20%

Burlington: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$1,316 +25%

Burlington: $1,051

Average HH income

$67,535 +23%

Burlington: $54,941

Poverty rate

2.5% -86%

Burlington: 18.0%

Renter share

53.0% +15%

Burlington: 46.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why The Cove scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

34% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Risk score comparison

The Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in The Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37001021703	3.3	7,560	34%	$1,316

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 16%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,101Total filings (sum)
7.46%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak year (2014)
6.30%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
7.5%No health insurance
25.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Cove

What is the eviction-risk score for The Cove?

The Cove scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Cove compare to Burlington overall?

The Cove scores 0.5 points higher than Burlington overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,316 vs $1,051.

What is the average rent in The Cove?

Average gross rent in The Cove is $1,316/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Cove residents are renters?

53% of The Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 7,560 residents.

Is The Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

The Cove sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is The Cove for landlords?

The Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Cove?

The Cove has 7,869 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Cove

3.5 Westview 2 tracts · pop 10,187 4 Cedar Crest 2 tracts · pop 5,791

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Cove.

3.6 Central Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,664 3.8 Cedar Crest 2 tracts · pop 5,791 2.6 Country Club Forest 1 tracts · pop 3,329 4 Greenbrier 1 tracts · pop 5,473 4.2 Pinewood Forest 1 tracts · pop 5,721 4.8 Alamance Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,432

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