Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Burlington
Tract 37001021703 · Alamance County, NC · pop 7,560 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 37001021703 covers part of the The Cove area of Burlington, NC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,560 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units3,543
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$67,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 36.0544, -79.5184 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Cove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burlington
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,316 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
3.0
How The Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,101Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2014)
- 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 360% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Cove
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,316, 25% above the Burlington average.
Cost burden runs 34% here against 40.3% across Alamance County. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1,101 evictions over 17 years of observation.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Alamance County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37001021703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37001021703?
Census tract 37001021703 in the The Cove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37001021703?
Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37001021703?
2.5% of residents in tract 37001021703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37001021703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 16th, minority 59th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 37001021703 considered part of The Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37001021703 fall within The Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37001021703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,101 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37001021703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.46% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37001021703 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37001021703 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 37001021703 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Burlington at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burlington
Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Graber Heights
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Piedmont Heights
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Beverly Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hunting Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Jackson Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Downtown Burlington
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Alamance Hills
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Cedar Crest
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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