Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
The Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Burlington
Tract 37001021703 · Alamance County, NC · pop 7,560 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 37001021703 belongs to The Cove in Burlington, North Carolina. It is home to 7,560 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 23% of US census tracts.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,316 a month while the average household earns $67,535 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units3,543
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$67,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 36.0544, -79.5184 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Cove scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burlington
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,316 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
3.0
How The Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,101Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2014)
- 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 360% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Cove
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Alamance County average of 5.2 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,101 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 7.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.7% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37001021703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37001021703?
Census tract 37001021703 in the The Cove neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37001021703?
Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37001021703?
2.5% of residents in tract 37001021703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37001021703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 16th, minority 59th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 37001021703 considered part of The Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37001021703 fall within The Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37001021703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,101 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37001021703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.46% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37001021703 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37001021703 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 37001021703 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burlington
Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Piedmont Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Beverly Hills
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hunting Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Graber Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Downtown Burlington
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Jackson Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Alamance Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Cedar Crest
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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