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Neighborhood · Graham, NC

Avalon Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Avalon Valley is a white-black neighborhood in Graham with 1 census tract and a population of 3,609 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 23% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,152/month sits 8% higher than the Graham citywide average ($1,071).

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Avalon Valley vs Graham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.1% -19%
Graham: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,152 +8%
Graham: $1,071
Average HH income
$68,854 +26%
Graham: $54,783
Poverty rate
8.6% -53%
Graham: 18.1%
Renter share
53.4% +14%
Graham: 46.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avalon Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Avalon Valley scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
23% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Avalon Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avalon Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Avalon Valley: 3.63.6Avalon ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Avalon Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37001021101 3.6 3,609 23% $1,152
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Avalon Valley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,525Total filings (sum)
  • 18.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.7%Peak year (2017)
  • 21.40%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avalon Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Avalon Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avalon Valley?

Avalon Valley scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avalon Valley compare to Graham overall?

Avalon Valley scores 0.8 points higher than Graham overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,152 vs $1,071.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avalon Valley?

Average gross rent in Avalon Valley is $1,152/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avalon Valley residents are renters?

53% of Avalon Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Graham). The neighborhood has 3,609 residents.
Q5

Is Avalon Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Avalon Valley sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Avalon Valley for landlords?

Avalon Valley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Graham as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Avalon Valley?

Avalon Valley has 3,853 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.6%), Hispanic / Latino (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Avalon Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Graham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Avalon Valley.

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