Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Graham
Tract 37001021101 ·
Alamance County, NC · pop 3,609 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 37001021101 in the Avalon Valley area of Graham, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Alamance County average of 40.3%.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 41%Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,036
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$68,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Avalon Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In Graham
Low
Within county
50th percentile
#19 of 37 tracts In Alamance County
Moderate
Within state
39th percentile
#1,634 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Graham and the region
Centroid at 36.0697, -79.3749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon Valley scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Graham
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,152 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Graham
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Graham
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Graham
6.0
How Avalon Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,525Total filings over 17 yrs
18.12%Avg annual filing rate
27.7%Peak (2017)
119Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2018
Filings climbed 70% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.3%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
11.9%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon Valley
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,525 filings here across 17 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 27.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Alamance County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,152, close to the Graham average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $68,854.
53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37001021101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37001021101?
Census tract 37001021101 in the Avalon Valley neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37001021101?
Median gross rent is $1,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37001021101?
8.6% of residents in tract 37001021101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,609.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37001021101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 10th, minority 65th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 37001021101 considered part of Avalon Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37001021101 fall within Avalon Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37001021101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,525 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37001021101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.12% of renter households, peaking at 27.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37001021101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37001021101 compare to Graham overall?
Tract 37001021101 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Graham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Graham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Graham
Top eight tracts in Graham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.