Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Graham
Tract 37001021101 · Alamance County, NC · pop 3,609 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
For landlords sizing up Avalon Valley in Graham, census tract 37001021101 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #49,026 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,152 monthly, set against $68,854 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,036
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$68,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Graham and the region
Centroid at 36.0697, -79.3749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon Valley scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Graham
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,152 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Graham
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Graham
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Graham
6.0
How Avalon Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,525Total filings over 17 yrs
- 18.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.7%Peak (2017)
- 119Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 70% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon Valley
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Graham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alamance County average of 5.2 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,525 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 18.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.7% of renter households in 2017.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37001021101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37001021101?
Census tract 37001021101 in the Avalon Valley neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37001021101?
Median gross rent is $1,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37001021101?
8.6% of residents in tract 37001021101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,609.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37001021101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 10th, minority 65th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 37001021101 considered part of Avalon Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37001021101 fall within Avalon Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37001021101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,525 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37001021101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.12% of renter households, peaking at 27.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37001021101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37001021101 compare to Graham overall?
Tract 37001021101 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Graham at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Graham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Graham
Top eight tracts in Graham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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