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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

DeGraffenried Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Bern

Tract 37049960600 · Craven County, NC · pop 5,883 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 37049960600 covers part of the DeGraffenried Park area of New Bern, NC, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,883 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Craven County average of 41.4%.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 17% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,447
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$52,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In DeGraffenried Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In New Bern
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 26 tracts In Craven County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#795 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Bern and the region

Centroid at 35.1154, -77.0769 · click any tract to drill in

Why DeGraffenried Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Bern
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Bern
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Bern
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Bern
6.9

How DeGraffenried Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
DeGraffenried Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 9606004.1New Bernparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2018)
  • 85Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within DeGraffenried Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in DeGraffenried Park

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.7/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 122 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,234, 14% above the New Bern average. The worst year on record was 2018, when 5.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Craven County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $52,405. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37049960600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960600?

Census tract 37049960600 in the DeGraffenried Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37049960600?

Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960600?

15.7% of residents in tract 37049960600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,883.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 75th, minority 76th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 37049960600 considered part of DeGraffenried Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37049960600 fall within DeGraffenried Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37049960600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37049960600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.09% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37049960600 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37049960600 compare to New Bern overall?

Tract 37049960600 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of New Bern at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Bern eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Bern

Top eight tracts in New Bern ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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