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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

DeGraffenried Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Bern

Tract 37049960900 · Craven County, NC · pop 1,774 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 37049960900 belongs to the DeGraffenried Park neighborhood of New Bern, North Carolina. It is home to 1,774 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $768 a month against an average household income of $41,892 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 28% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units991
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$41,892

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In DeGraffenried Park
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In New Bern
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 26 tracts In Craven County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#401 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Bern and the region

Centroid at 35.1088, -77.0387 · click any tract to drill in

Why DeGraffenried Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Bern
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$768 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Bern
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Bern
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Bern
6.9

How DeGraffenried Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
DeGraffenried Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 960900New Bern: 2.52.5New Bernparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 6.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2018)
  • 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within DeGraffenried Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in DeGraffenried Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Bern eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Craven County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37049960900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960900?

Census tract 37049960900 in the DeGraffenried Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37049960900?

Median gross rent is $768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960900?

24.3% of residents in tract 37049960900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,774.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 70th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 37049960900 considered part of DeGraffenried Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37049960900 fall within DeGraffenried Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37049960900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37049960900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.06% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37049960900 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37049960900 compare to New Bern overall?

Tract 37049960900 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of New Bern at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Bern eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Bern

Top eight tracts in New Bern ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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