Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro
Tract 37081015402 · Guilford County, NC · pop 6,825 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 37081015402 sits in the Manchester area of Greensboro eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,751
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$64,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greensboro and the region
Centroid at 36.1240, -79.7037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,199Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.9%Peak (2015)
- 178Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 19.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 1,199 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,052 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Greensboro commands. Filings peaked in 2015 at 25.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 22.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Guilford County average of 4.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37081015402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081015402?
Census tract 37081015402 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37081015402?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37081015402?
16.2% of residents in tract 37081015402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,825.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37081015402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 93th, minority 74th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 37081015402 considered part of Manchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081015402 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081015402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081015402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.38% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37081015402 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37081015402 compare to Greensboro overall?
Tract 37081015402 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro
Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Coventry Glen
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Park Grove
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Maybrook
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hope Valley
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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