1 census tracts · pop 6,825 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 4.3–4.3
Manchester maps to a single census tract in Greensboro, NC, population 6,825. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Greensboro baseline of 32.4%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The filing record is not thin: 1,199 evictions logged in this tract.
The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 25.9% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,052, 10% below the Greensboro average of $1,172. The most recent observed rate, 14.7% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #20 of 35 neighborhoods in Greensboro.
For a like-for-like read, Hunter Hills and Bluford Heights score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Against average income of $64,615, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 4.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Manchester vs GreensboroHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Manchester
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,199Total filings (sum)
22.38%Avg annual filing rate
25.9%Peak year (2015)
14.66%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Manchester
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.5%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.3%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
13.0%No health insurance
35.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Manchester
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Manchester?
Manchester scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Manchester compare to Greensboro overall?
Manchester scores 0.4 points higher than Greensboro overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,052 vs $1,172.
Q3
What is the average rent in Manchester?
Average gross rent in Manchester is $1,052/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Manchester residents are renters?
31% of Manchester households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Greensboro). The neighborhood has 6,825 residents.
Q5
Is Manchester a high social-vulnerability area?
Manchester sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Manchester for landlords?
Manchester carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greensboro as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Manchester?
Manchester has 7,859 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (55.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), Hispanic / Latino (12.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
