Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Lillington Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37085071201 · Harnett County, NC · pop 2,552 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Lillington
Census tract 37085071201 covers part of Lillington, NC, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units936
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$60,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lillington and the region
Centroid at 35.2810, -78.8762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lillington scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lillington
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$843 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lillington
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lillington
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lillington
4.7
How Lillington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 733Total filings over 17 yrs
- 10.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2004)
- 33Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lillington
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 37.3% across Harnett County.
Average gross rent is $843, 15% below the Lillington average. Court records carry 733 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 16.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Against average income of $60,000, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Harnett County average of 4.1 closely. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37085071201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37085071201?
Census tract 37085071201 in Lillington scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37085071201?
Median gross rent is $843/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37085071201?
12.0% of residents in tract 37085071201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,552.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37085071201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 93th, minority 55th, housing 41th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37085071201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 733 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37085071201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.02% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37085071201 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37085071201 compare to Lillington overall?
Tract 37085071201 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Lillington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lillington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lillington
Top eight tracts in Lillington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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