Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Bear Tree Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Archer Lodge
Tract 37101040208 · Johnston County, NC · pop 5,481 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 37101040208 covers the Bear Tree Run area of Archer Lodge in North Carolina. Home to 5,481 residents, it scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 7th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,179 a month against an average household income of $111,806 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,922
Renter share6.4%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,806
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Archer Lodge and the region
Centroid at 35.6743, -78.3515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bear Tree Run scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Archer Lodge
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,179 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Archer Lodge
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Archer Lodge
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Archer Lodge
3.8
How Bear Tree Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bear Tree Run
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Archer Lodge, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Johnston County average of 5.0 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101040208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040208?
Census tract 37101040208 in the Bear Tree Run neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101040208?
Median gross rent is $2,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040208?
1.4% of residents in tract 37101040208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,481.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 7th, minority 49th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 37101040208 considered part of Bear Tree Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101040208 fall within Bear Tree Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101040208 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101040208 compare to Archer Lodge overall?
Tract 37101040208 scores 1.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Archer Lodge at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Archer Lodge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Archer Lodge
Top eight tracts in Archer Lodge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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