Bear Tree Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Archer Lodge

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Johnston County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $111,806.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.