Neighborhood · Archer Lodge, NC

Bear Tree Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,481 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.8–1.8

Bear Tree Run is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Archer Lodge with 1 census tract and a population of 5,481 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,179/month sits 49% higher than the Archer Lodge citywide average ($1,458).

Risk score

1.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bear Tree Run vs Archer Lodge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Archer Lodge: 16.6%

Average gross rent

$2,179 +49%

Archer Lodge: $1,458

Average HH income

$111,806 +14%

Archer Lodge: $98,170

Poverty rate

1.4% -90%

Archer Lodge: 13.8%

Renter share

6.4% -68%

Archer Lodge: 20.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bear Tree Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.8–1.8

Why Bear Tree Run scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

6% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts

3.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Economic stress

1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Risk score comparison

Bear Tree Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bear Tree Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37101040208	1.8	5,481	0%	$2,179

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 7%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bear Tree Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.0%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
9.0%No health insurance
27.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bear Tree Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Bear Tree Run?

Bear Tree Run scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bear Tree Run compare to Archer Lodge overall?

Bear Tree Run scores 0.2 points lower than Archer Lodge overall (2/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 17% citywide. Average rent: $2,179 vs $1,458.

What is the average rent in Bear Tree Run?

Average gross rent in Bear Tree Run is $2,179/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bear Tree Run residents are renters?

6% of Bear Tree Run households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Archer Lodge). The neighborhood has 5,481 residents.

Is Bear Tree Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Bear Tree Run sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bear Tree Run for landlords?

Bear Tree Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Archer Lodge as a whole (2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bear Tree Run?

Bear Tree Run has 5,767 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bear Tree Run

3 Valley Creek 2 tracts · pop 7,635

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Archer Lodge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bear Tree Run.

1.8 Tuscany 1 tracts · pop 11,443 1.8 Riverwood 1 tracts · pop 1,862

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