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Neighborhood · Archer Lodge, NC

Bear Tree Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,481 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Bear Tree Run maps to a single census tract in Archer Lodge, NC, population 5,481. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. At $2,179 a month, rents sit 49% over what the rest of Archer Lodge commands.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.2/10.

The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.

At 6% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Tuscany and Riverwood.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $111,806.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bear Tree Run vs Archer Lodge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
Archer Lodge: 16.6%
Average gross rent
$2,179 +49%
Archer Lodge: $1,458
Average HH income
$111,806 +14%
Archer Lodge: $98,170
Poverty rate
1.4% -90%
Archer Lodge: 13.8%
Renter share
6.4% -68%
Archer Lodge: 20.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bear Tree Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Bear Tree Run scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Risk score comparison

Bear Tree Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bear Tree Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Bear Tree RunNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bear Tree Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37101040208 3 5,481 0% $2,179
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bear Tree Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bear Tree Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bear Tree Run?

Bear Tree Run scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bear Tree Run compare to Archer Lodge overall?

Bear Tree Run scores 0.2 points lower than Archer Lodge overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 17% citywide. Average rent: $2,179 vs $1,458.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bear Tree Run?

Average gross rent in Bear Tree Run is $2,179/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bear Tree Run residents are renters?

6% of Bear Tree Run households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Archer Lodge). The neighborhood has 5,481 residents.
Q5

Is Bear Tree Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Bear Tree Run sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bear Tree Run for landlords?

Bear Tree Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Archer Lodge as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bear Tree Run?

Bear Tree Run has 5,767 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bear Tree Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Archer Lodge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bear Tree Run.

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