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Neighborhood · Charlotte, NC

Providence Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 15,082 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3.1

Providence spans 4 census tracts of Charlotte, NC and houses 15,082 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 29.9% citywide, putting Providence 15.2% over its own city.

Average gross rent is $1,055, 35% below the Charlotte average of $1,612. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Court records carry 480 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

Food insecurity affects 6.2% of adults, 11.6 points below the national rate. 3.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 21.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 5.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #93 of 111 neighborhoods in Charlotte. At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Dilworth Historic District and Mallard. Rent takes 9% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Providence vs Charlotte How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.1% +51%
Charlotte: 29.9%
Average gross rent
$1,055 -35%
Charlotte: $1,612
Average HH income
$142,153 +81%
Charlotte: $78,438
Poverty rate
3.7% -68%
Charlotte: 11.7%
Renter share
26.2% -47%
Charlotte: 49.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.1

Why Providence scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–5.0 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Providence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Providence score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0ProvidenceNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Providence?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.1 points from 3 to 3.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Providence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37119003016 3.1 4,639 36% $1,651
37119005848 3 5,016 53% ,
37119005832 3 2,978 43% $1,454
37119003018 3 2,449 47% $1,604
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Providence

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 480Total filings (sum)
  • 8.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 5.35%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Providence

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Providence

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence?

Providence scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Providence compare to Charlotte overall?

Providence scores 1.0 points lower than Charlotte overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,055 vs $1,612.
Q3

What is the average rent in Providence?

Average gross rent in Providence is $1,055/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Providence residents are renters?

26% of Providence households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Charlotte). The neighborhood has 15,082 residents.
Q5

Is Providence a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Providence have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Providence is census tract 37119003016 (score 3.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.1, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Providence for landlords?

Providence carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Charlotte as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence?

Providence has 14,640 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.6%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Charlotte

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence.

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