Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Middlesex Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37127011501 · Nash County, NC · pop 2,921 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Middlesex
Census tract 37127011501 sits in Middlesex in Nash County, North Carolina eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $823 a month against an average household income of $48,472 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,056
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$48,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex and the region
Centroid at 35.7729, -78.2017 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middlesex scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middlesex
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middlesex
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middlesex
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middlesex
5.2
How Middlesex compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.9%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middlesex
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middlesex, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Nash County average of 5.3 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37127011501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37127011501?
Census tract 37127011501 in Middlesex scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37127011501?
Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37127011501?
19.2% of residents in tract 37127011501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,921.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37127011501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 66th, housing 52th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37127011501 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37127011501 compare to Middlesex overall?
Tract 37127011501 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Middlesex at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middlesex; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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