Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Middlesex Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37127011501 ·
Nash County, NC · pop 2,921 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Middlesex
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 37127011501 in Middlesex, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,921 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 16%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,056
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$48,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Middlesex
Moderate
Within county
83th percentile
#5 of 25 tracts In Nash County
High
Within state
70th percentile
#795 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
53th percentile
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex and the region
Centroid at 35.7729, -78.2017 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middlesex scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middlesex
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middlesex
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middlesex
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middlesex
5.2
How Middlesex compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
18.2%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
23.9%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
12.0%Transit barriers
16.2%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middlesex
Cost burden runs 47% here against 35.3% across Nash County. Average gross rent is $823, 28% above the Middlesex average.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Nash County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $48,472. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37127011501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37127011501?
Census tract 37127011501 in Middlesex scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37127011501?
Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37127011501?
19.2% of residents in tract 37127011501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,921.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37127011501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 66th, housing 52th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37127011501 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37127011501 compare to Middlesex overall?
Tract 37127011501 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middlesex at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middlesex; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.