Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Castalia Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37127010900 · Nash County, NC · pop 5,024 · 11% of tract blocks fall in Castalia
Census tract 37127010900 covers part of Castalia, NC, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,024. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,782
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$49,888
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castalia and the region
Centroid at 36.0909, -78.0048 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castalia scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castalia
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$746 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castalia
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castalia
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castalia
5.6
How Castalia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2002)
- 44Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 20.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castalia
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Against Nash County at 35.3%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 119 evictions over 2 years of observation. Average gross rent is $746, 14% above the Castalia average.
Against the Nash County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 17.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $49,888, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37127010900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37127010900?
Census tract 37127010900 in Castalia scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37127010900?
Median gross rent is $746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37127010900?
15.2% of residents in tract 37127010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,024.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37127010900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 98th, minority 69th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37127010900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37127010900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.00% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37127010900 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37127010900 compare to Castalia overall?
Tract 37127010900 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Castalia at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castalia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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