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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, NC

Watkins Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,556 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Watkins Village maps to a single census tract in Jacksonville, NC, population 6,556. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Jacksonville rate of 32.6%. The voucher gap is 26.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.7/10.

Court records for this tract carry 8 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 0.1% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,453, 10% above the Jacksonville average of $1,321. Recent filings have not receded much: 0.1% in 2018 against a 0.1% peak. That places it #6 of 7 neighborhoods in Jacksonville.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Watkins Village vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.9% +32%
Jacksonville: 32.6%
Average gross rent
$1,453 +10%
Jacksonville: $1,321
Average HH income
$67,596 +25%
Jacksonville: $54,069
Poverty rate
8.4% -38%
Jacksonville: 13.5%
Renter share
100.0% +63%
Jacksonville: 61.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watkins Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Watkins Village scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
100% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
8.4% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Watkins Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Watkins Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Watkins VillageNeighborhood5.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Watkins Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37133000700 5.2 6,556 43% $1,453
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Watkins Village

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings (sum)
  • 0.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.1%Peak year (2002)
  • 0.10%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Watkins Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Watkins Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Watkins Village?

Watkins Village scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Watkins Village compare to Jacksonville overall?

Watkins Village scores 0.2 points lower than Jacksonville overall (5.4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,453 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Watkins Village?

Average gross rent in Watkins Village is $1,453/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Watkins Village residents are renters?

100% of Watkins Village households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 6,556 residents.
Q5

Is Watkins Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Watkins Village sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Watkins Village for landlords?

Watkins Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (5.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Watkins Village?

Watkins Village has 7,086 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Watkins Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Watkins Village.

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