Watkins Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The voucher gap is 26.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,453, 10% above the Jacksonville average.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 0.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.