1 census tracts · pop 3,450 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10
· range 7.2–7.2
The Province maps to a single census tract in Greenville, NC, population 3,450. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. This is a renter market: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Greenville rate of 31.6%.
Set annual rent against average household income of $30,313 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. SNAP participation is 35.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 36.0% of adults, 18.2 points above the national rate. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $937, 7% below the Greenville average of $1,007.
That places it #1 of 12 neighborhoods in Greenville. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
One tract means one number: 7.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Province vs GreenvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Province
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.2%Housing insecurity
19.5%Utility shutoff threat
36.0%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
41.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Province
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Province?
The Province scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Province compare to Greenville overall?
The Province scores 1.4 points higher than Greenville overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $1,007.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Province?
Average gross rent in The Province is $937/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Province residents are renters?
96% of The Province households are renter-occupied (vs 67% in Greenville). The neighborhood has 3,450 residents.
Q5
Is The Province a high social-vulnerability area?
The Province sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Province for landlords?
The Province carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greenville as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Province?
The Province has 3,581 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
