Neighborhood · Greenville, NC

The Province Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,450 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

The Province is a black-white neighborhood in Greenville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,450 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $937/month sits 7% lower than the Greenville citywide average ($1,007).

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

The Province vs Greenville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.4% +37%

Greenville: 31.6%

Average gross rent

$937 -7%

Greenville: $1,007

Average HH income

$30,313 -40%

Greenville: $50,564

Poverty rate

47.7% +95%

Greenville: 24.5%

Renter share

96.3% +43%

Greenville: 67.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Province and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why The Province scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

96% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts

9.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

47.7% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

The Province vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in The Province

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37147000102	6.2	3,450	43%	$937

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 11%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 84%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Province

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

25.2%Housing insecurity
19.5%Utility shutoff threat
36.0%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
41.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Province

What is the eviction-risk score for The Province?

The Province scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Province compare to Greenville overall?

The Province scores 3.1 points higher than Greenville overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $1,007.

What is the average rent in The Province?

Average gross rent in The Province is $937/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Province residents are renters?

96% of The Province households are renter-occupied (vs 67% in Greenville). The neighborhood has 3,450 residents.

Is The Province a high social-vulnerability area?

The Province sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is The Province for landlords?

The Province carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greenville as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Province?

The Province has 3,581 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Province

5.7 Forest Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,682 5.2 Village Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,728 5.4 College Court 2 tracts · pop 5,941 4.7 Treetops 2 tracts · pop 8,937 3.4 Arbor Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,812 2.5 Shamrock Terrace 2 tracts · pop 9,631

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Greenville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Province.

6.2 College View 1 tracts · pop 2,757 6.1 Lincoln Park 1 tracts · pop 3,088 6.1 Wyndham Circle 1 tracts · pop 4,817 5.8 Moyewood-Paige 1 tracts · pop 5,430 5.6 Forest Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,682 5.4 College Court 2 tracts · pop 5,941

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