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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Elkin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37171930901 · Surry County, NC · pop 3,946 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Elkin

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 37171930901 in Elkin, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,946 residents. Against Surry County at 33.7%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 16% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$61,758

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Elkin
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 23 tracts In Surry County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#926 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elkin and the region

Centroid at 36.2701, -80.8562 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elkin scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elkin
2.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$746 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkin
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkin
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkin
8.2

How Elkin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elkin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 930901Elkin: 4.04.0Elkinparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 379Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2002)
  • 20Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371719309012001: 16 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2002: 39 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2007: 28 filings (5.63/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2009: 13 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 26 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (4.81/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 27 filings (4.42/100 renter HHs)2017: 31 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)2018: 20 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 18 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elkin

The dominant input is housing-court posture at 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 379 filings here across 18 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 7.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Against average income of $61,758, annual rent is just 14%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Surry County average of 3.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37171930901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37171930901?

Census tract 37171930901 in Elkin scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37171930901?

Median gross rent is $746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37171930901?

20.6% of residents in tract 37171930901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37171930901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 80th, minority 45th, housing 96th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37171930901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 379 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 37171930901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37171930901 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37171930901 compare to Elkin overall?

Tract 37171930901 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elkin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elkin

Top eight tracts in Elkin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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