Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Hillard Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Cary
Tract 37183053411 · Wake County, NC · pop 14,778 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 37183053411 sits in the Hillard Forest area of Cary eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Against Wake County at 42.7%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units4,410
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$176,650
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cary and the region
Centroid at 35.7978, -78.8970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillard Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cary
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cary
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cary
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cary
3.0
How Hillard Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 17.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillard Forest
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Wake County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 112 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $176,650, annual rent is just 11%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053411?
Census tract 37183053411 in the Hillard Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053411?
Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053411?
5.4% of residents in tract 37183053411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 14,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 50th, minority 71th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053411 considered part of Hillard Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053411 fall within Hillard Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37183053411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37183053411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.73% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37183053411 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37183053411 compare to Cary overall?
Tract 37183053411 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cary at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cary
Top eight tracts in Cary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Northwoods
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Curman E Martin
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Russell Hills
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Matchpoint Village
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Whittington Park Northwoods
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Walnut Hills
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Franklin Chase
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Village at the Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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