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Neighborhood · Cary, NC

Hillard Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 14,778 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Hillard Forest maps to a single census tract in Cary, NC and houses 14,778 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 28% of renter households. Court records for this tract carry 112 eviction filings.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

3.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 7.9% of adults, 9.9 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 7.2% of renter households. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Cary, it ranks #11 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $176,650, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hillard Forest vs Cary How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.5% +10%
Cary: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$1,679 -3%
Cary: $1,738
Average HH income
$176,650 +37%
Cary: $129,399
Poverty rate
5.4% +2%
Cary: 5.3%
Renter share
25.1% -25%
Cary: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hillard Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Hillard Forest scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Hillard Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hillard Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Hillard ForestNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hillard Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053411 3 14,778 27% $1,679
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 50%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Hillard Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 112Total filings (sum)
  • 7.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.19%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hillard Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hillard Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hillard Forest?

Hillard Forest scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hillard Forest compare to Cary overall?

Hillard Forest scores 0.4 points lower than Cary overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,679 vs $1,738.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hillard Forest?

Average gross rent in Hillard Forest is $1,679/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hillard Forest residents are renters?

25% of Hillard Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Cary). The neighborhood has 14,778 residents.
Q5

Is Hillard Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Hillard Forest sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hillard Forest for landlords?

Hillard Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cary as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hillard Forest?

Hillard Forest has 14,926 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (41.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hillard Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cary

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hillard Forest.

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