Neighborhood · Cary, NC

Hillard Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 14,778 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.2–1.2

Hillard Forest is a white-asian neighborhood in Cary with 1 census tract and a population of 14,778 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 28% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,679/month sits 3% lower than the Cary citywide average ($1,738).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Hillard Forest vs Cary How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

27.5% +10%

Cary: 24.9%

Average gross rent

$1,679 -3%

Cary: $1,738

Average HH income

$176,650 +37%

Cary: $129,399

Poverty rate

5.4% +2%

Cary: 5.3%

Renter share

25.1% -25%

Cary: 33.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hillard Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.2–1.2

Why Hillard Forest scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

28% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

25% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Risk score comparison

Hillard Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Hillard Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37183053411	1.2	14,778	27%	$1,679

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 49%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Hillard Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

112Total filings (sum)
7.73%Avg annual filing rate
7.2%Peak year (2016)
7.19%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hillard Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
5.7%No health insurance
17.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Hillard Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Hillard Forest?

Hillard Forest scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Hillard Forest compare to Cary overall?

Hillard Forest scores 1.4 points lower than Cary overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,679 vs $1,738.

What is the average rent in Hillard Forest?

Average gross rent in Hillard Forest is $1,679/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Hillard Forest residents are renters?

25% of Hillard Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Cary). The neighborhood has 14,778 residents.

Is Hillard Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Hillard Forest sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Hillard Forest for landlords?

Hillard Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cary as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Hillard Forest?

Hillard Forest has 14,926 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (41.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hillard Forest

2.7 Gresham Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,646 2.5 Pebble Ridge 2 tracts · pop 3,840

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cary

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hillard Forest.

1.2 Marquis at Cary Parkway 1 tracts · pop 7,699 1.2 Saratoga Park 1 tracts · pop 2,288 1.2 Ivory Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,177 1.2 Lake Wheeler Bluffs 1 tracts · pop 3,615 1.1 Montclair 1 tracts · pop 6,948 1.1 Normandie 1 tracts · pop 5,699

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