Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Morgan Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Fuquay-Varina
Tract 37183053112 · Wake County, NC · pop 5,743 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
37183053112 is a census tract in the Morgan Creek area of Fuquay-Varina, NC. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,662
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$109,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fuquay-Varina and the region
Centroid at 35.5648, -78.7891 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morgan Creek scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,175 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.1
How Morgan Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morgan Creek
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. At $1,175 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Fuquay-Varina commands.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Against Wake County at 42.7%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Against average income of $109,583, annual rent is just 13%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Wake County average of 4.0 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053112?
Census tract 37183053112 in the Morgan Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053112?
Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053112?
7.6% of residents in tract 37183053112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 41th, minority 40th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053112 considered part of Morgan Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053112 fall within Morgan Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37183053112 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37183053112 compare to Fuquay-Varina overall?
Tract 37183053112 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Fuquay-Varina at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fuquay-Varina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fuquay-Varina
Top eight tracts in Fuquay-Varina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Scottsdale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Squire Ridge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Rowland Pond
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Akins Place
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Stewart Manor
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Wind Haven South
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Durbin Village
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37085071004
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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