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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Minot AFB Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38101010901 · Ward County, ND · pop 2,089

Tract 38101010901 sits in Minot AFB eviction risk, ND, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 2,089 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 66% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units663
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$78,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Minot AFB
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In Ward County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Moderate
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minot AFB and the region

Centroid at 48.4280, -101.3261 · click any tract to drill in

Why Minot AFB scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minot AFB
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,476 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minot AFB
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minot AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minot AFB
4.0

How Minot AFB compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Minot AFB risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0109013.6Minot AFBparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Minot AFB

The voucher gap is 41.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, supply constraint reads 9.2/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 34% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Ward County average of 3.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,476, close to the Minot AFB average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $78,365.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38101010901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010901?

Census tract 38101010901 in Minot AFB scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38101010901?

Median gross rent is $1,476/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010901?

1.9% of residents in tract 38101010901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,089.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 4th, minority 50th, housing 20th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38101010901 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38101010901 compare to Minot AFB overall?

Tract 38101010901 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Minot AFB at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot AFB eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minot AFB

Top eight tracts in Minot AFB ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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