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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Conneaut Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39007000102 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,034 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 39007000102 in the Downtown Conneaut area of Conneaut, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,034 residents. Against Ashtabula County at 44.4%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 8% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$53,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown Conneaut
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Conneaut
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#1,558 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conneaut and the region

Centroid at 41.9582, -80.5590 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Conneaut scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conneaut
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$789 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conneaut
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conneaut
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conneaut
7.7

How Downtown Conneaut compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Conneaut risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0001024.0Conneautparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 171Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2014)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39007000102
Filings climbed 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Conneaut. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Conneaut

The dominant input is housing-court posture at 7.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 171 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $53,571, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Ashtabula County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $789, close to the Conneaut average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000102?

Census tract 39007000102 in the Downtown Conneaut neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000102?

Median gross rent is $789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000102?

14.6% of residents in tract 39007000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 43th, minority 4th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 39007000102 considered part of Downtown Conneaut?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000102 fall within Downtown Conneaut (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39007000102 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39007000102 compare to Conneaut overall?

Tract 39007000102 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Conneaut at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conneaut; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conneaut

Top eight tracts in Conneaut ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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