Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Conneaut Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007000102 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,034 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39007000102 (the Downtown Conneaut neighborhood of Conneaut, Ohio) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $789 a month while the average household earns $53,571 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$53,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Conneaut and the region
Centroid at 41.9582, -80.5590 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Conneaut scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Conneaut
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$789 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conneaut
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conneaut
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conneaut
7.7
How Downtown Conneaut compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Conneaut. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 15.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Conneaut
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conneaut, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 171 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2014.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000102?
Census tract 39007000102 in the Downtown Conneaut neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007000102?
Median gross rent is $789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000102?
14.6% of residents in tract 39007000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 43th, minority 4th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 39007000102 considered part of Downtown Conneaut?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000102 fall within Downtown Conneaut (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39007000102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39007000102 compare to Conneaut overall?
Tract 39007000102 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Conneaut at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conneaut; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Conneaut
Top eight tracts in Conneaut ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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