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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Conneaut Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39007000103 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,572 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

39007000103 is a census tract in the Downtown Conneaut area of Conneaut, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,572 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.6/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$38,803

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Downtown Conneaut
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Conneaut
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conneaut and the region

Centroid at 41.9415, -80.5691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Conneaut scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conneaut
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conneaut
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conneaut
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conneaut
7.7

How Downtown Conneaut compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Conneaut risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0001034.0Conneautparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 453Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2005)
  • 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39007000103
Filings dropped 46% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Conneaut. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Conneaut

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Ashtabula County average of 44.4%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Ashtabula County average of 4.2. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 453 evictions over 15 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000103?

Census tract 39007000103 in the Downtown Conneaut neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000103?

Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000103?

38.3% of residents in tract 39007000103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,572.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 84th, minority 12th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 39007000103 considered part of Downtown Conneaut?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000103 fall within Downtown Conneaut (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 453 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.38% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39007000103 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39007000103 compare to Conneaut overall?

Tract 39007000103 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Conneaut at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conneaut; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conneaut

Top eight tracts in Conneaut ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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