Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Conneaut Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007000103 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,572 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up Downtown Conneaut in Conneaut, census tract 39007000103 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $765 a month while the average household earns $38,803 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$38,803
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Conneaut and the region
Centroid at 41.9415, -80.5691 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Conneaut scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Conneaut
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conneaut
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conneaut
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conneaut
7.7
How Downtown Conneaut compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 453Total filings over 15 yrs
- 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2005)
- 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Conneaut. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 28.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 23.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Conneaut
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conneaut, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 453 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007000103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000103?
Census tract 39007000103 in the Downtown Conneaut neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007000103?
Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000103?
38.3% of residents in tract 39007000103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 84th, minority 12th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 39007000103 considered part of Downtown Conneaut?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000103 fall within Downtown Conneaut (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 453 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.38% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39007000103 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39007000103 compare to Conneaut overall?
Tract 39007000103 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Conneaut at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conneaut; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Conneaut
Top eight tracts in Conneaut ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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